I know Obama's South Carolina win doesn't lock up the Democratic nomination and I am continually reminded by my highly intelligent readership to not count a Clinton out, however I will continue to stick with my prediction that Obama will at least win the nomination. Here's something I wrote just over a year ago (unedited from January 16, 2007):
He promises to bring new order to the politics of Washington. He promises to promote cooperation across party lines. His lack of time in Washington actually serves in his favor as he doesn't come off as tainted and hindered by the politics of Washington (like John McCain does). Despite not having one notable national achievement legislatively, all sorts of people are casting their lots with him already. Oprah endorses him. Warren Buffett endorses him. Even Rick Warren (of "The Purpose Driven Life" fame) speaks very favorably of him.He is good looking, intelligent, very articulate, and diplomatic. Couple these attributes with the current widespread displeasure with Washington politics and the White House, Obama is striking perfect timing for a successful run in 2008. Unless a candidate emerges, with similar attributes, he will win.
Mark my words- there is no current Republican who can beat Obama if he wins the nomination. I think Thompson had a chance, but now he's out. John McCain will look absolutely archaic and tainted against the younger, quicker, seemingly more innovative Obama. Romney has a better chance against Obama and it will be a much tighter race if that's the contest, however, I still think Obama wins against Romney in the end. I think it would be great to have an African American President, but not Obama.
I hope I'm wrong about this.